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One interesting metric that investors can use to get some sense of the valuation of an equity market is the ratio of total market capitalization to GDP , expressed as a percentage.
The closest equivalent to this in terms of stock valuation is a company's market cap to total sales or revenues , which in per-share terms is the well-known price-to-sales ratio.
Just as stocks in different sectors trade at widely divergent price-to-sales ratios, different nations trade at market-cap-to-GDP ratios that are literally all over the map.
For example, according to the World Bank , the U. However, the utility of this ratio lies in comparing it to historical norms for a particular nation.
As an example, the U. In retrospect, these represented zones of substantial overvaluation and undervaluation, respectively, for U.
The biggest downside of this data is its lack of timeliness; investors only get one update per quarter and revisions can be large enough to significantly alter the percentage change in GDP.
GDP first came to light in a report to the U. At the time, the preeminent system of measurement was GNP. After the Bretton Woods conference in , GDP was widely adopted as the standard means for measuring national economies, though ironically the U.
Beginning in the s, however, some economists and policymakers began to question GDP. In other words, these critics drew attention to a distinction between economic progress and social progress.
There are, of course, drawbacks to using GDP as an indicator. In addition to the lack of timeliness, some criticisms of GDP as a measure are:.
The World Bank hosts one of the most reliable web-based databases. It has one of the best and most comprehensive lists of countries for which it tracks GDP data.
The only drawback to using a Federal Reserve database is a lack of updating in GDP data and an absence of data for certain countries.
Department of Commerce, issues its own analysis document with each GDP release, which is a great investor tool for analyzing figures and trends and reading highlights of the very lengthy full release.
They liken the ability of GDP to give an overall picture of the state of the economy to that of a satellite in space that can survey the weather across an entire continent.
GDP enables policymakers and central banks to judge whether the economy is contracting or expanding, whether it needs a boost or restraint, and if a threat such as a recession or inflation looms on the horizon.
Like any measure, GDP has its imperfections. In recent decades, governments have created various nuanced modifications in attempts to increase GDP accuracy and specificity.
Means of calculating GDP have also evolved continually since its conception so as to keep up with evolving measurements of industry activity and the generation and consumption of new, emerging forms of intangible assets.
Countries with larger GDPs will have a greater amount of goods and services generated within them, and will generally have a higher standard of living.
Due to various limitations, however, many economists have argued that GDP should not be used as a proxy for overall economic success, much less the success of a society more generally.
However, their ranking differs depending on how you measure GDP. Most people perceive a higher GDP to be a good thing, because it is associated with greater economic opportunities and an improved standard of material well-being.
It is possible, however, for a country to have a high GDP and still be an unattractive place to live, so it is important to also consider other measurements.
For example, a country could have a high GDP and a low per-capita GDP , suggesting that significant wealth exists but it is concentrated in the hands of very few people.
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Definition of Gross domestic product GDP Gross domestic product GDP is the standard measure of the value added created through the production of goods and services in a country during a certain period.
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Table of Contents Expand. Nominal vs. Real GDP. Measuring GDP. GDP for Economists and Investors. The Bottom Line. Key Takeaways Gross domestic product tracks the health of a country's economy.
It represents the value of all goods and services produced over a specific time period within a country's borders. Economists can use GDP to determine whether an economy is growing or experiencing a recession.
Investors can use GDP to make investments decisions—a bad economy means lower earnings and lower stock prices.
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